KA Candidate Detail

Performance Summary

Short Term Return

-0.77%

Long Baseline

-23.86%

Short Baseline

23.46%

Price Return

-23.66%

Projection Windows

20

Avg Long Avg Short L 11 · S 9 · P 0 Avg Price Reference 113,967.080000

This Pattern

Snapshot of the exact candle window, pattern settings, and outcomes recorded below.

Window Length (candles) 280

Training Slice 2022-05-02 19:00 → 2022-05-26 01:00

Price Range 38,696.050000 → 29,542.150000

Baseline Comparison L -23.86% | S 23.46% | Δ -23.66%

The synthetic pattern takes this window, produces the short-term return above, and then projects forward using the same window size to build the trajectory below.

How to Trade This Pattern

Guidelines derived from the pattern and baseline relationship. Adjust to your own risk management.

Entry Idea Signal is mixed. Wait for additional confirmation before entering.

Exit Idea For short trades, cover if the short baseline flips positive or projections tighten above zero.

Risk Guide Position sizing: use the baseline return magnitude as the expected move and cap risk to a fraction of that.

Bias Slight long edge: pattern beats long baseline more than short.

Strategy Notes

These figures describe how the synthetic pattern compares with simple buy-and-hold baselines for the same window.

— How this snapshot is built:

Take a recent slice of candles and compute the synthetic pattern return.
Measure what a simple long, a simple short, and the raw price move did on the same slice.
Walk forward through the next slices to see how the asset kept moving.

Pattern vs. long baseline: 23.08%
Pattern vs. short baseline: -24.23%
Asset price change on window: -23.66%
Projection windows keeping long baseline positive: 11 | short baseline positive: 9 | price positive: 0
Average projection returns — long: 0.13%, short: -0.53%, price: -39.25%

Slight long edge: pattern beats long baseline more than short.

Read the full KA evaluation documentation

Performance Trajectory

Short-term synthetic strategy vs. long/short baselines over subsequent windows.

Metadata

Packets 23845

Score -0.007727

Created 2025-09-29 19:15:15

Updated 2025-09-29 19:15:15

interval 2h

packets 23845

start_index 8892

window_size 280

start_time 1651507200000

end_index 9171

end_time 1653516000000

short_term_return -0.007727

comparison_count 20

comparison_long_positive 11

comparison_short_positive 9

comparison_long_average 0.001321

comparison_short_average -0.005321

comparison_price_positive 0

comparison_price_average -0.392539

price_return -0.23655902863471

Projection Windows

Pair	Interval	Window	Long Return	Short Return	Period
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-35.01%	34.61%	2022-05-26 03:00 → 2022-06-18 09:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	5.92%	-6.32%	2022-06-18 11:00 → 2022-07-11 17:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	11.44%	-11.84%	2022-07-11 19:00 → 2022-08-04 01:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-11.35%	10.95%	2022-08-04 03:00 → 2022-08-27 09:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-6.07%	5.67%	2022-08-27 11:00 → 2022-09-19 17:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	0.19%	-0.59%	2022-09-19 19:00 → 2022-10-13 01:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	11.44%	-11.84%	2022-10-13 03:00 → 2022-11-05 08:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-24.70%	24.30%	2022-11-05 10:00 → 2022-11-28 16:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	4.00%	-4.40%	2022-11-28 18:00 → 2022-12-22 00:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	24.01%	-24.41%	2022-12-22 02:00 → 2023-01-14 08:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	10.06%	-10.46%	2023-01-14 10:00 → 2023-02-06 16:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	2.34%	-2.74%	2023-02-06 18:00 → 2023-03-02 00:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	16.12%	-16.52%	2023-03-02 02:00 → 2023-03-25 08:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	6.61%	-7.01%	2023-03-25 10:00 → 2023-04-17 17:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-6.19%	5.79%	2023-04-17 19:00 → 2023-05-11 01:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-1.74%	1.34%	2023-05-11 03:00 → 2023-06-03 09:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	11.74%	-12.14%	2023-06-03 11:00 → 2023-06-26 17:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-1.88%	1.48%	2023-06-26 19:00 → 2023-07-20 01:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-1.83%	1.43%	2023-07-20 03:00 → 2023-08-12 09:00
BTC_USDT	2h	280	-12.46%	12.06%	2023-08-12 11:00 → 2023-09-04 17:00

Raw Payloads

Metadata JSON

{"interval": "2h", "packets": 23845, "start_index": 8892, "window_size": 280, "start_time": 1651507200000, "end_index": 9171, "end_time": 1653516000000, "short_term_return": -0.007727, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 11, "comparison_short_positive": 9, "comparison_long_average": 0.001321, "comparison_short_average": -0.005321, "comparison_price_positive": 0, "comparison_price_average": -0.392539, "price_return": -0.23655902863470563}

Reasoning JSON

{"short_term_return": -0.007727, "long_return": -0.238559, "short_return": 0.234559, "price_return": -0.236559, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 11, "comparison_short_positive": 9, "comparison_long_average": 0.001321, "comparison_short_average": -0.005321, "comparison_price_average": -0.392539}

Simulation JSON

{"start_time": 1651507200000, "end_time": 1653516000000, "window_size": 280, "trades_executed": 2, "commission": 0.001, "short_term_return": -0.007727, "long_return": -0.238559, "short_return": 0.234559, "base_start_price": 38696.05, "base_end_price": 29542.15, "comparison": [{"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.350098, "short_return": 0.346098, "price_return": -0.502311, "start_time": 1653523200000, "end_time": 1655532000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.059212, "short_return": -0.063212, "price_return": -0.471847, "start_time": 1655539200000, "end_time": 1657548000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.114359, "short_return": -0.118359, "price_return": -0.410318, "start_time": 1657555200000, "end_time": 1659564000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.113525, "short_return": 0.109525, "price_return": -0.476116, "start_time": 1659571200000, "end_time": 1661580000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.060679, "short_return": 0.056679, "price_return": -0.506914, "start_time": 1661587200000, "end_time": 1663596000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.001893, "short_return": -0.005893, "price_return": -0.504975, "start_time": 1663603200000, "end_time": 1665612000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.114383, "short_return": -0.118383, "price_return": -0.447375, "start_time": 1665619200000, "end_time": 1667628000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.24697, "short_return": 0.24297, "price_return": -0.582741, "start_time": 1667635200000, "end_time": 1669644000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.040017, "short_return": -0.044017, "price_return": -0.56521, "start_time": 1669651200000, "end_time": 1671660000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.240066, "short_return": -0.244066, "price_return": -0.459961, "start_time": 1671667200000, "end_time": 1673676000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.100598, "short_return": -0.104598, "price_return": -0.404554, "start_time": 1673683200000, "end_time": 1675692000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.023436, "short_return": -0.027436, "price_return": -0.38937, "start_time": 1675699200000, "end_time": 1677708000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.161167, "short_return": -0.165167, "price_return": -0.289711, "start_time": 1677715200000, "end_time": 1679724000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.066143, "short_return": -0.070143, "price_return": -0.24131, "start_time": 1679731200000, "end_time": 1681740000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.061934, "short_return": 0.057934, "price_return": -0.286781, "start_time": 1681747200000, "end_time": 1683756000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.017375, "short_return": 0.013375, "price_return": -0.297747, "start_time": 1683763200000, "end_time": 1685772000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": 0.117421, "short_return": -0.121421, "price_return": -0.213883, "start_time": 1685779200000, "end_time": 1687788000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.018779, "short_return": 0.014779, "price_return": -0.227073, "start_time": 1687795200000, "end_time": 1689804000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.018307, "short_return": 0.014307, "price_return": -0.239677, "start_time": 1689811200000, "end_time": 1691820000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 280, "long_return": -0.124606, "short_return": 0.120606, "price_return": -0.332898, "start_time": 1691827200000, "end_time": 1693836000000}]}