KA Candidate Detail

Performance Summary

Short Term Return

-0.59%

Long Baseline

-6.03%

Short Baseline

5.63%

Price Return

-5.83%

Projection Windows

20

Avg Long Avg Short L 9 · S 11 · P 0 Avg Price Reference 208.280000

This Pattern

Snapshot of the exact candle window, pattern settings, and outcomes recorded below.

Window Length (candles) 173

Training Slice 2025-02-17 16:30 → 2025-02-21 06:30

Price Range 184.790000 → 174.020000

Baseline Comparison L -6.03% | S 5.63% | Δ -5.83%

The synthetic pattern takes this window, produces the short-term return above, and then projects forward using the same window size to build the trajectory below.

How to Trade This Pattern

Guidelines derived from the pattern and baseline relationship. Adjust to your own risk management.

Entry Idea Signal is mixed. Wait for additional confirmation before entering.

Exit Idea For short trades, cover if the short baseline flips positive or projections tighten above zero.

Risk Guide Position sizing: use the baseline return magnitude as the expected move and cap risk to a fraction of that.

Bias Slight long edge: pattern beats long baseline more than short.

Strategy Notes

These figures describe how the synthetic pattern compares with simple buy-and-hold baselines for the same window.

— How this snapshot is built:

Take a recent slice of candles and compute the synthetic pattern return.
Measure what a simple long, a simple short, and the raw price move did on the same slice.
Walk forward through the next slices to see how the asset kept moving.

Pattern vs. long baseline: 5.44%
Pattern vs. short baseline: -6.22%
Asset price change on window: -5.83%
Projection windows keeping long baseline positive: 9 | short baseline positive: 11 | price positive: 0
Average projection returns — long: -0.48%, short: 0.08%, price: -27.30%

Slight long edge: pattern beats long baseline more than short.

Read the full KA evaluation documentation

Performance Trajectory

Short-term synthetic strategy vs. long/short baselines over subsequent windows.

Metadata

Packets 11699

Score -0.005887

Created 2025-09-29 19:15:21

Updated 2025-09-29 19:15:21

interval 30m

packets 11699

start_index 941

window_size 173

start_time 1739802600000

end_index 1113

end_time 1740112200000

short_term_return -0.005887

comparison_count 20

comparison_long_positive 9

comparison_short_positive 11

comparison_long_average -0.004824

comparison_short_average 0.000824

comparison_price_positive 0

comparison_price_average -0.273004

price_return -0.058282374587369

Projection Windows

Pair	Interval	Window	Long Return	Short Return	Period
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-12.90%	12.50%	2025-02-21 07:00 → 2025-02-24 21:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-12.98%	12.58%	2025-02-24 21:30 → 2025-02-28 11:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	8.07%	-8.47%	2025-02-28 12:00 → 2025-03-04 02:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	1.76%	-2.16%	2025-03-04 02:30 → 2025-03-07 16:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-16.20%	15.80%	2025-03-07 17:00 → 2025-03-11 07:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	9.07%	-9.47%	2025-03-11 07:30 → 2025-03-14 21:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-7.69%	7.29%	2025-03-14 22:00 → 2025-03-18 12:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	3.38%	-3.78%	2025-03-18 12:30 → 2025-03-22 02:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	13.10%	-13.50%	2025-03-22 03:00 → 2025-03-25 17:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-12.55%	12.15%	2025-03-25 17:30 → 2025-03-29 07:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-2.01%	1.61%	2025-03-29 08:00 → 2025-04-01 23:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-3.84%	3.44%	2025-04-01 23:30 → 2025-04-05 13:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-16.39%	15.99%	2025-04-05 14:00 → 2025-04-09 04:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	28.56%	-28.96%	2025-04-09 04:30 → 2025-04-12 18:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-3.85%	3.45%	2025-04-12 19:00 → 2025-04-16 09:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	10.21%	-10.61%	2025-04-16 09:30 → 2025-04-19 23:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	9.55%	-9.95%	2025-04-20 00:00 → 2025-04-23 14:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-4.12%	3.72%	2025-04-23 14:30 → 2025-04-27 04:30
SOL_USDT	30m	173	-3.13%	2.73%	2025-04-27 05:00 → 2025-04-30 19:00
SOL_USDT	30m	173	2.33%	-2.73%	2025-04-30 19:30 → 2025-05-04 09:30

Raw Payloads

Metadata JSON

{"interval": "30m", "packets": 11699, "start_index": 941, "window_size": 173, "start_time": 1739802600000, "end_index": 1113, "end_time": 1740112200000, "short_term_return": -0.005887, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 9, "comparison_short_positive": 11, "comparison_long_average": -0.004824, "comparison_short_average": 0.000824, "comparison_price_positive": 0, "comparison_price_average": -0.273004, "price_return": -0.05828237458736935}

Reasoning JSON

{"short_term_return": -0.005887, "long_return": -0.060282, "short_return": 0.056282, "price_return": -0.058282, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 9, "comparison_short_positive": 11, "comparison_long_average": -0.004824, "comparison_short_average": 0.000824, "comparison_price_average": -0.273004}

Simulation JSON

{"start_time": 1739802600000, "end_time": 1740112200000, "window_size": 173, "trades_executed": 2, "commission": 0.001, "short_term_return": -0.005887, "long_return": -0.060282, "short_return": 0.056282, "base_start_price": 184.79, "base_end_price": 174.02, "comparison": [{"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.129047, "short_return": 0.125047, "price_return": -0.177878, "start_time": 1740114000000, "end_time": 1740423600000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.129839, "short_return": 0.125839, "price_return": -0.283024, "start_time": 1740425400000, "end_time": 1740735000000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.080717, "short_return": -0.084717, "price_return": -0.223659, "start_time": 1740736800000, "end_time": 1741046400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.017586, "short_return": -0.021586, "price_return": -0.208399, "start_time": 1741048200000, "end_time": 1741357800000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.161967, "short_return": 0.157967, "price_return": -0.335029, "start_time": 1741359600000, "end_time": 1741669200000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.090685, "short_return": -0.094685, "price_return": -0.273337, "start_time": 1741671000000, "end_time": 1741980600000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.076913, "short_return": 0.072913, "price_return": -0.327723, "start_time": 1741982400000, "end_time": 1742292000000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.033821, "short_return": -0.037821, "price_return": -0.303642, "start_time": 1742293800000, "end_time": 1742603400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.130965, "short_return": -0.134965, "price_return": -0.21105, "start_time": 1742605200000, "end_time": 1742914800000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.125525, "short_return": 0.121525, "price_return": -0.308458, "start_time": 1742916600000, "end_time": 1743226200000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.020077, "short_return": 0.016077, "price_return": -0.320959, "start_time": 1743228000000, "end_time": 1743537600000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.03842, "short_return": 0.03442, "price_return": -0.34569, "start_time": 1743539400000, "end_time": 1743849000000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.163939, "short_return": 0.159939, "price_return": -0.451648, "start_time": 1743850800000, "end_time": 1744160400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.285575, "short_return": -0.289575, "price_return": -0.293955, "start_time": 1744162200000, "end_time": 1744471800000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.038483, "short_return": 0.034483, "price_return": -0.319714, "start_time": 1744473600000, "end_time": 1744783200000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.102057, "short_return": -0.106057, "price_return": -0.248985, "start_time": 1744785000000, "end_time": 1745094600000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.095492, "short_return": -0.099492, "price_return": -0.175767, "start_time": 1745096400000, "end_time": 1745406000000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.041196, "short_return": 0.037196, "price_return": -0.208074, "start_time": 1745407800000, "end_time": 1745717400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": -0.031315, "short_return": 0.027315, "price_return": -0.23129, "start_time": 1745719200000, "end_time": 1746028800000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 173, "long_return": 0.023343, "short_return": -0.027343, "price_return": -0.211808, "start_time": 1746030600000, "end_time": 1746340200000}]}