KA Candidate Detail

Performance Summary

Short Term Return

-5.46%

Long Baseline

-0.13%

Short Baseline

-0.27%

Price Return

0.07%

Projection Windows

20

Avg Long Avg Short L 12 · S 8 · P 4 Avg Price Reference 208.280000

This Pattern

Snapshot of the exact candle window, pattern settings, and outcomes recorded below.

Window Length (candles) 185

Training Slice 2025-05-23 23:30 → 2025-05-27 19:30

Price Range 178.050000 → 178.180000

Baseline Comparison L -0.13% | S -0.27% | Δ 0.07%

The synthetic pattern takes this window, produces the short-term return above, and then projects forward using the same window size to build the trajectory below.

How to Trade This Pattern

Guidelines derived from the pattern and baseline relationship. Adjust to your own risk management.

Entry Idea Enter short once price rolls back toward baseline resistance.

Exit Idea For short trades, cover if the short baseline flips positive or projections tighten above zero.

Risk Guide Position sizing: use the baseline return magnitude as the expected move and cap risk to a fraction of that.

Bias Pattern lags both baselines — consider defensive or short positioning.

Strategy Notes

These figures describe how the synthetic pattern compares with simple buy-and-hold baselines for the same window.

— How this snapshot is built:

Take a recent slice of candles and compute the synthetic pattern return.
Measure what a simple long, a simple short, and the raw price move did on the same slice.
Walk forward through the next slices to see how the asset kept moving.

Pattern vs. long baseline: -5.33%
Pattern vs. short baseline: -5.19%
Asset price change on window: 0.07%
Projection windows keeping long baseline positive: 12 | short baseline positive: 8 | price positive: 4
Average projection returns — long: 0.29%, short: -0.69%, price: -9.02%

Pattern lags both baselines — consider defensive or short positioning.

Read the full KA evaluation documentation

Performance Trajectory

Short-term synthetic strategy vs. long/short baselines over subsequent windows.

Metadata

Packets 11699

Score -0.054607

Created 2025-09-29 19:15:21

Updated 2025-09-29 19:15:21

interval 30m

packets 11699

start_index 5513

window_size 185

start_time 1748032200000

end_index 5697

end_time 1748363400000

short_term_return -0.054607

comparison_count 20

comparison_long_positive 12

comparison_short_positive 8

comparison_long_average 0.002852

comparison_short_average -0.006852

comparison_price_positive 4

comparison_price_average -0.090154

price_return 0.00073013198539733

Projection Windows

Pair	Interval	Window	Long Return	Short Return	Period
SOL_USDT	30m	185	-13.25%	12.85%	2025-05-27 20:00 → 2025-05-31 16:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	1.50%	-1.90%	2025-05-31 16:30 → 2025-06-04 12:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	-4.80%	4.40%	2025-06-04 13:00 → 2025-06-08 09:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	6.27%	-6.67%	2025-06-08 09:30 → 2025-06-12 05:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	-4.95%	4.55%	2025-06-12 06:00 → 2025-06-16 02:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	-4.75%	4.35%	2025-06-16 02:30 → 2025-06-19 22:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	-9.79%	9.39%	2025-06-19 23:00 → 2025-06-23 19:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	7.26%	-7.66%	2025-06-23 19:30 → 2025-06-27 15:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	5.14%	-5.54%	2025-06-27 16:00 → 2025-07-01 12:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	-1.23%	0.83%	2025-07-01 12:30 → 2025-07-05 08:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	2.84%	-3.24%	2025-07-05 09:00 → 2025-07-09 05:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	5.46%	-5.86%	2025-07-09 05:30 → 2025-07-13 01:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	8.19%	-8.59%	2025-07-13 02:00 → 2025-07-16 22:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	4.43%	-4.83%	2025-07-16 22:30 → 2025-07-20 18:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	2.16%	-2.56%	2025-07-20 19:00 → 2025-07-24 15:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	3.23%	-3.63%	2025-07-24 15:30 → 2025-07-28 11:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	-12.45%	12.05%	2025-07-28 12:00 → 2025-08-01 08:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	-0.70%	0.30%	2025-08-01 08:30 → 2025-08-05 04:30
SOL_USDT	30m	185	5.43%	-5.83%	2025-08-05 05:00 → 2025-08-09 01:00
SOL_USDT	30m	185	5.71%	-6.11%	2025-08-09 01:30 → 2025-08-12 21:30

Raw Payloads

Metadata JSON

{"interval": "30m", "packets": 11699, "start_index": 5513, "window_size": 185, "start_time": 1748032200000, "end_index": 5697, "end_time": 1748363400000, "short_term_return": -0.054607, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 12, "comparison_short_positive": 8, "comparison_long_average": 0.002852, "comparison_short_average": -0.006852, "comparison_price_positive": 4, "comparison_price_average": -0.090154, "price_return": 0.0007301319853973347}

Reasoning JSON

{"short_term_return": -0.054607, "long_return": -0.00127, "short_return": -0.00273, "price_return": 0.00073, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 12, "comparison_short_positive": 8, "comparison_long_average": 0.002852, "comparison_short_average": -0.006852, "comparison_price_average": -0.090154}

Simulation JSON

{"start_time": 1748032200000, "end_time": 1748363400000, "window_size": 185, "trades_executed": 6, "commission": 0.001, "short_term_return": -0.054607, "long_return": -0.00127, "short_return": -0.00273, "base_start_price": 178.05, "base_end_price": 178.18, "comparison": [{"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": -0.132493, "short_return": 0.128493, "price_return": -0.129907, "start_time": 1748365200000, "end_time": 1748696400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.014978, "short_return": -0.018978, "price_return": -0.115192, "start_time": 1748698200000, "end_time": 1749029400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": -0.04802, "short_return": 0.04402, "price_return": -0.155911, "start_time": 1749031200000, "end_time": 1749362400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.062741, "short_return": -0.066741, "price_return": -0.101264, "start_time": 1749364200000, "end_time": 1749695400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": -0.049494, "short_return": 0.045494, "price_return": -0.143948, "start_time": 1749697200000, "end_time": 1750028400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": -0.047469, "short_return": 0.043469, "price_return": -0.182926, "start_time": 1750030200000, "end_time": 1750361400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": -0.097889, "short_return": 0.093889, "price_return": -0.261275, "start_time": 1750363200000, "end_time": 1750694400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.072584, "short_return": -0.076584, "price_return": -0.206178, "start_time": 1750696200000, "end_time": 1751027400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.051414, "short_return": -0.055414, "price_return": -0.163718, "start_time": 1751029200000, "end_time": 1751360400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": -0.012343, "short_return": 0.008343, "price_return": -0.172367, "start_time": 1751362200000, "end_time": 1751693400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.028402, "short_return": -0.032402, "price_return": -0.147206, "start_time": 1751695200000, "end_time": 1752026400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.054639, "short_return": -0.058639, "price_return": -0.098905, "start_time": 1752028200000, "end_time": 1752359400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.0819, "short_return": -0.0859, "price_return": -0.023364, "start_time": 1752361200000, "end_time": 1752692400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.044348, "short_return": -0.048348, "price_return": 0.02196, "start_time": 1752694200000, "end_time": 1753025400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.021575, "short_return": -0.025575, "price_return": 0.046111, "start_time": 1753027200000, "end_time": 1753358400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.032253, "short_return": -0.036253, "price_return": 0.081943, "start_time": 1753360200000, "end_time": 1753691400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": -0.124456, "short_return": 0.120456, "price_return": -0.050548, "start_time": 1753693200000, "end_time": 1754024400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": -0.007028, "short_return": 0.003028, "price_return": -0.055265, "start_time": 1754026200000, "end_time": 1754357400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.054295, "short_return": -0.058295, "price_return": -0.002022, "start_time": 1754359200000, "end_time": 1754690400000}, {"trading_pair": "SOL_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 185, "long_return": 0.057095, "short_return": -0.061095, "price_return": 0.056894, "start_time": 1754692200000, "end_time": 1755023400000}]}