KA Candidate Detail

Performance Summary

Short Term Return

-3.61%

Long Baseline

-1.32%

Short Baseline

0.92%

Price Return

-1.12%

Projection Windows

6

Avg Long Avg Short L 4 · S 2 · P 6 Avg Price Reference 113,967.080000

This Pattern

Snapshot of the exact candle window, pattern settings, and outcomes recorded below.

Window Length (candles) 186

Training Slice 2025-05-30 07:00 → 2025-06-14 17:00

Price Range 106,024.330000 → 104,841.300000

Baseline Comparison L -1.32% | S 0.92% | Δ -1.12%

The synthetic pattern takes this window, produces the short-term return above, and then projects forward using the same window size to build the trajectory below.

How to Trade This Pattern

Guidelines derived from the pattern and baseline relationship. Adjust to your own risk management.

Entry Idea Enter short once price rolls back toward baseline resistance.

Exit Idea For short trades, cover if the short baseline flips positive or projections tighten above zero.

Risk Guide Position sizing: use the baseline return magnitude as the expected move and cap risk to a fraction of that.

Bias Pattern lags both baselines — consider defensive or short positioning.

Strategy Notes

These figures describe how the synthetic pattern compares with simple buy-and-hold baselines for the same window.

— How this snapshot is built:

Take a recent slice of candles and compute the synthetic pattern return.
Measure what a simple long, a simple short, and the raw price move did on the same slice.
Walk forward through the next slices to see how the asset kept moving.

Pattern vs. long baseline: -2.30%
Pattern vs. short baseline: -4.53%
Asset price change on window: -1.12%
Projection windows keeping long baseline positive: 4 | short baseline positive: 2 | price positive: 6
Average projection returns — long: 1.44%, short: -1.84%, price: 7.63%

Pattern lags both baselines — consider defensive or short positioning.

Read the full KA evaluation documentation

Performance Trajectory

Short-term synthetic strategy vs. long/short baselines over subsequent windows.

Metadata

Packets 23845

Score -0.036115

Created 2025-09-29 19:15:15

Updated 2025-09-29 19:15:15

interval 2h

packets 23845

start_index 22374

window_size 186

start_time 1748577600000

end_index 22559

end_time 1749909600000

short_term_return -0.036115

comparison_count 6

comparison_long_positive 4

comparison_short_positive 2

comparison_long_average 0.014365

comparison_short_average -0.018365

comparison_price_positive 6

comparison_price_average 0.07633

price_return -0.011158099277779

Projection Windows

Pair	Interval	Window	Long Return	Short Return	Period
BTC_USDT	2h	186	3.29%	-3.69%	2025-06-14 19:00 → 2025-06-30 05:00
BTC_USDT	2h	186	7.07%	-7.47%	2025-06-30 07:00 → 2025-07-15 17:00
BTC_USDT	2h	186	1.58%	-1.98%	2025-07-15 19:00 → 2025-07-31 05:00
BTC_USDT	2h	186	-1.21%	0.81%	2025-07-31 07:00 → 2025-08-15 17:00
BTC_USDT	2h	186	-7.07%	6.67%	2025-08-15 19:00 → 2025-08-31 05:00
BTC_USDT	2h	186	4.94%	-5.34%	2025-08-31 07:00 → 2025-09-15 17:00

Raw Payloads

Metadata JSON

{"interval": "2h", "packets": 23845, "start_index": 22374, "window_size": 186, "start_time": 1748577600000, "end_index": 22559, "end_time": 1749909600000, "short_term_return": -0.036115, "comparison_count": 6, "comparison_long_positive": 4, "comparison_short_positive": 2, "comparison_long_average": 0.014365, "comparison_short_average": -0.018365, "comparison_price_positive": 6, "comparison_price_average": 0.07633, "price_return": -0.011158099277778966}

Reasoning JSON

{"short_term_return": -0.036115, "long_return": -0.013158, "short_return": 0.009158, "price_return": -0.011158, "comparison_count": 6, "comparison_long_positive": 4, "comparison_short_positive": 2, "comparison_long_average": 0.014365, "comparison_short_average": -0.018365, "comparison_price_average": 0.07633}

Simulation JSON

{"start_time": 1748577600000, "end_time": 1749909600000, "window_size": 186, "trades_executed": 4, "commission": 0.001, "short_term_return": -0.036115, "long_return": -0.013158, "short_return": 0.009158, "base_start_price": 106024.33, "base_end_price": 104841.3, "comparison": [{"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 186, "long_return": 0.032933, "short_return": -0.036933, "price_return": 0.023385, "start_time": 1749916800000, "end_time": 1751248800000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 186, "long_return": 0.070695, "short_return": -0.074695, "price_return": 0.09778, "start_time": 1751256000000, "end_time": 1752588000000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 186, "long_return": 0.015825, "short_return": -0.019825, "price_return": 0.117349, "start_time": 1752595200000, "end_time": 1753927200000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 186, "long_return": -0.012053, "short_return": 0.008053, "price_return": 0.106116, "start_time": 1753934400000, "end_time": 1755266400000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 186, "long_return": -0.070654, "short_return": 0.066654, "price_return": 0.030177, "start_time": 1755273600000, "end_time": 1756605600000}, {"trading_pair": "BTC_USDT", "interval": "2h", "window_size": 186, "long_return": 0.049445, "short_return": -0.053445, "price_return": 0.083175, "start_time": 1756612800000, "end_time": 1757944800000}]}