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PATTERN-6953

ETH_USDT · 30m · ID 4

Performance Summary

Short Term Return

-3.29%

Long Baseline

-4.49%

Short Baseline

4.09%

Price Return

-4.29%

Projection Windows

20

Avg Long Avg Short L 14 · S 5 · P 4 Avg Price Reference 4,145.230000

This Pattern

Snapshot of the exact candle window, pattern settings, and outcomes recorded below.

Window Length (candles) 97
Training Slice 2025-04-02 08:00 → 2025-04-04 08:00
Price Range 1,879.140000 → 1,798.460000
Baseline Comparison L -4.49% | S 4.09% | Δ -4.29%

The synthetic pattern takes this window, produces the short-term return above, and then projects forward using the same window size to build the trajectory below.

How to Trade This Pattern

Guidelines derived from the pattern and baseline relationship. Adjust to your own risk management.

Entry Idea Signal is mixed. Wait for additional confirmation before entering.
Exit Idea For short trades, cover if the short baseline flips positive or projections tighten above zero.
Risk Guide Position sizing: use the baseline return magnitude as the expected move and cap risk to a fraction of that.
Bias Slight long edge: pattern beats long baseline more than short.

Strategy Notes

These figures describe how the synthetic pattern compares with simple buy-and-hold baselines for the same window.

— How this snapshot is built:

Slight long edge: pattern beats long baseline more than short.

Read the full KA evaluation documentation

Performance Trajectory

Short-term synthetic strategy vs. long/short baselines over subsequent windows.

Metadata

Packets 8956
Score -0.032891
Created 2025-09-29 19:15:16
Updated 2025-09-29 19:15:16
interval 30m
packets 8956
start_index 291
window_size 97
start_time 1743570000000
end_index 387
end_time 1743742800000
short_term_return -0.032891
comparison_count 20
comparison_long_positive 14
comparison_short_positive 5
comparison_long_average 0.01838
comparison_short_average -0.02238
comparison_price_positive 4
comparison_price_average -0.023854
price_return -0.042934533882521

Projection Windows

Pair Interval Window Long Return Short Return Period
ETH_USDT 30m 97 0.51% -0.91% 2025-04-04 08:30 → 2025-04-06 08:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 -13.03% 12.63% 2025-04-06 09:00 → 2025-04-08 09:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 2.18% -2.58% 2025-04-08 09:30 → 2025-04-10 09:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 -2.66% 2.26% 2025-04-10 10:00 → 2025-04-12 10:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 3.55% -3.95% 2025-04-12 10:30 → 2025-04-14 10:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 -4.14% 3.74% 2025-04-14 11:00 → 2025-04-16 11:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 0.80% -1.20% 2025-04-16 11:30 → 2025-04-18 11:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 0.07% -0.47% 2025-04-18 12:00 → 2025-04-20 12:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 1.94% -2.34% 2025-04-20 12:30 → 2025-04-22 12:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 7.30% -7.70% 2025-04-22 13:00 → 2025-04-24 13:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 3.04% -3.44% 2025-04-24 13:30 → 2025-04-26 13:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 0.73% -1.13% 2025-04-26 14:00 → 2025-04-28 14:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 -0.48% 0.08% 2025-04-28 14:30 → 2025-04-30 14:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 0.77% -1.17% 2025-04-30 15:00 → 2025-05-02 15:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 -0.37% -0.03% 2025-05-02 15:30 → 2025-05-04 15:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 -4.03% 3.63% 2025-05-04 16:00 → 2025-05-06 16:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 12.08% -12.48% 2025-05-06 16:30 → 2025-05-08 16:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 22.01% -22.41% 2025-05-08 17:00 → 2025-05-10 17:00
ETH_USDT 30m 97 3.55% -3.95% 2025-05-10 17:30 → 2025-05-12 17:30
ETH_USDT 30m 97 2.93% -3.33% 2025-05-12 18:00 → 2025-05-14 18:00

Raw Payloads

Metadata JSON 
{"interval": "30m", "packets": 8956, "start_index": 291, "window_size": 97, "start_time": 1743570000000, "end_index": 387, "end_time": 1743742800000, "short_term_return": -0.032891, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 14, "comparison_short_positive": 5, "comparison_long_average": 0.01838, "comparison_short_average": -0.02238, "comparison_price_positive": 4, "comparison_price_average": -0.023854, "price_return": -0.04293453388252076}
Reasoning JSON 
{"short_term_return": -0.032891, "long_return": -0.044935, "short_return": 0.040935, "price_return": -0.042935, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 14, "comparison_short_positive": 5, "comparison_long_average": 0.01838, "comparison_short_average": -0.02238, "comparison_price_average": -0.023854}
Simulation JSON 
{"start_time": 1743570000000, "end_time": 1743742800000, "window_size": 97, "trades_executed": 6, "commission": 0.001, "short_term_return": -0.032891, "long_return": -0.044935, "short_return": 0.040935, "base_start_price": 1879.14, "base_end_price": 1798.46, "comparison": [{"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.005067, "short_return": -0.009067, "price_return": -0.036165, "start_time": 1743744600000, "end_time": 1743917400000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": -0.130336, "short_return": 0.126336, "price_return": -0.159855, "start_time": 1743919200000, "end_time": 1744092000000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.02181, "short_return": -0.02581, "price_return": -0.139851, "start_time": 1744093800000, "end_time": 1744266600000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": -0.026648, "short_return": 0.022648, "price_return": -0.161052, "start_time": 1744268400000, "end_time": 1744441200000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.035469, "short_return": -0.039469, "price_return": -0.129618, "start_time": 1744443000000, "end_time": 1744615800000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": -0.041368, "short_return": 0.037368, "price_return": -0.163878, "start_time": 1744617600000, "end_time": 1744790400000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.008043, "short_return": -0.012043, "price_return": -0.155481, "start_time": 1744792200000, "end_time": 1744965000000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.000747, "short_return": -0.004747, "price_return": -0.15316, "start_time": 1744966800000, "end_time": 1745139600000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.019385, "short_return": -0.023385, "price_return": -0.135051, "start_time": 1745141400000, "end_time": 1745314200000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.07303, "short_return": -0.07703, "price_return": -0.070154, "start_time": 1745316000000, "end_time": 1745488800000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.030381, "short_return": -0.034381, "price_return": -0.040045, "start_time": 1745490600000, "end_time": 1745663400000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.007341, "short_return": -0.011341, "price_return": -0.031073, "start_time": 1745665200000, "end_time": 1745838000000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": -0.004779, "short_return": 0.000779, "price_return": -0.03376, "start_time": 1745839800000, "end_time": 1746012600000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.007715, "short_return": -0.011715, "price_return": -0.024378, "start_time": 1746014400000, "end_time": 1746187200000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": -0.003724, "short_return": -0.000276, "price_return": -0.026054, "start_time": 1746189000000, "end_time": 1746361800000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": -0.040297, "short_return": 0.036297, "price_return": -0.063348, "start_time": 1746363600000, "end_time": 1746536400000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.120834, "short_return": -0.124834, "price_return": 0.051705, "start_time": 1746538200000, "end_time": 1746711000000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.220117, "short_return": -0.224117, "price_return": 0.285306, "start_time": 1746712800000, "end_time": 1746885600000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.03554, "short_return": -0.03954, "price_return": 0.333557, "start_time": 1746887400000, "end_time": 1747060200000}, {"trading_pair": "ETH_USDT", "interval": "30m", "window_size": 97, "long_return": 0.029282, "short_return": -0.033282, "price_return": 0.375273, "start_time": 1747062000000, "end_time": 1747234800000}]}