PATTERN-6947
Performance Summary
Short Term Return
1.47%
Long Baseline
1.10%
Short Baseline
-1.50%
Price Return
1.30%
Projection Windows
20
Avg Long
Avg Short
L 14 · S 5 · P 20
Avg Price
Reference 1,007.300000
This Pattern
Snapshot of the exact candle window, pattern settings, and outcomes recorded below.
75
2025-07-02 03:00 → 2025-07-05 05:00
646.340000 → 654.750000
L 1.10% | S -1.50% | Δ 1.30%
The synthetic pattern takes this window, produces the short-term return above, and then projects forward using the same window size to build the trajectory below.
How to Trade This Pattern
Guidelines derived from the pattern and baseline relationship. Adjust to your own risk management.
Enter long after the window closes if price confirms above the baseline trend.
For long trades, exit if the long baseline dips below zero or if projection windows turn negative.
Position sizing: use the baseline return magnitude as the expected move and cap risk to a fraction of that.
Pattern outperforms both baselines — favour long setups.
Strategy Notes
These figures describe how the synthetic pattern compares with simple buy-and-hold baselines for the same window.
- Take a recent slice of candles and compute the synthetic pattern return.
- Measure what a simple long, a simple short, and the raw price move did on the same slice.
- Walk forward through the next slices to see how the asset kept moving.
- Pattern vs. long baseline: 0.37%
- Pattern vs. short baseline: 2.98%
- Asset price change on window: 1.30%
- Projection windows keeping long baseline positive: 14 | short baseline positive: 5 | price positive: 20
- Average projection returns — long: 1.13%, short: -1.53%, price: 22.63%
Pattern outperforms both baselines — favour long setups.
Performance Trajectory
Metadata
Projection Windows
Pair | Interval | Window | Long Return | Short Return | Period |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 0.52% | -0.92% | 2025-07-05 06:00 → 2025-07-08 08:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 4.14% | -4.54% | 2025-07-08 09:00 → 2025-07-11 11:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 2.17% | -2.57% | 2025-07-11 12:00 → 2025-07-14 14:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 2.66% | -3.06% | 2025-07-14 15:00 → 2025-07-17 17:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 2.98% | -3.38% | 2025-07-17 18:00 → 2025-07-20 20:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 1.86% | -2.26% | 2025-07-20 21:00 → 2025-07-23 23:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 3.77% | -4.17% | 2025-07-24 00:00 → 2025-07-27 02:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 1.60% | -2.00% | 2025-07-27 03:00 → 2025-07-30 05:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | -5.32% | 4.92% | 2025-07-30 06:00 → 2025-08-02 08:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | -1.29% | 0.89% | 2025-08-02 09:00 → 2025-08-05 11:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 3.95% | -4.35% | 2025-08-05 12:00 → 2025-08-08 14:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 1.59% | -1.99% | 2025-08-08 15:00 → 2025-08-11 17:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 3.57% | -3.97% | 2025-08-11 18:00 → 2025-08-14 20:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 2.04% | -2.44% | 2025-08-14 21:00 → 2025-08-17 23:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 1.77% | -2.17% | 2025-08-18 00:00 → 2025-08-21 02:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | 0.73% | -1.13% | 2025-08-21 03:00 → 2025-08-24 05:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | -2.01% | 1.61% | 2025-08-24 06:00 → 2025-08-27 08:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | -0.41% | 0.01% | 2025-08-27 09:00 → 2025-08-30 11:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | -1.56% | 1.16% | 2025-08-30 12:00 → 2025-09-02 14:00 |
BNB_USDT | 1h | 75 | -0.18% | -0.22% | 2025-09-02 15:00 → 2025-09-05 17:00 |
Raw Payloads
Metadata JSON
{"interval": "1h", "packets": 13499, "start_index": 11346, "window_size": 75, "start_time": 1751414400000, "end_index": 11420, "end_time": 1751680800000, "short_term_return": 0.014743, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 14, "comparison_short_positive": 5, "comparison_long_average": 0.011277, "comparison_short_average": -0.015277, "comparison_price_positive": 20, "comparison_price_average": 0.226344, "price_return": 0.01301172757372276}
Reasoning JSON
{"short_term_return": 0.014743, "long_return": 0.011012, "short_return": -0.015012, "price_return": 0.013012, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 14, "comparison_short_positive": 5, "comparison_long_average": 0.011277, "comparison_short_average": -0.015277, "comparison_price_average": 0.226344}
Simulation JSON
{"start_time": 1751414400000, "end_time": 1751680800000, "window_size": 75, "trades_executed": 2, "commission": 0.001, "short_term_return": 0.014743, "long_return": 0.011012, "short_return": -0.015012, "base_start_price": 646.34, "base_end_price": 654.75, "comparison": [{"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.005163, "short_return": -0.009163, "price_return": 0.020268, "start_time": 1751684400000, "end_time": 1751950800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.041445, "short_return": -0.045445, "price_return": 0.06461, "start_time": 1751954400000, "end_time": 1752220800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.021703, "short_return": -0.025703, "price_return": 0.08986, "start_time": 1752224400000, "end_time": 1752490800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.026577, "short_return": -0.030577, "price_return": 0.121004, "start_time": 1752494400000, "end_time": 1752760800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.029758, "short_return": -0.033758, "price_return": 0.156605, "start_time": 1752764400000, "end_time": 1753030800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.01864, "short_return": -0.02264, "price_return": 0.180493, "start_time": 1753034400000, "end_time": 1753300800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.037671, "short_return": -0.041671, "price_return": 0.227357, "start_time": 1753304400000, "end_time": 1753570800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.01595, "short_return": -0.01995, "price_return": 0.249404, "start_time": 1753574400000, "end_time": 1753840800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": -0.053242, "short_return": 0.049242, "price_return": 0.185382, "start_time": 1753844400000, "end_time": 1754110800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": -0.012938, "short_return": 0.008938, "price_return": 0.172432, "start_time": 1754114400000, "end_time": 1754380800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.039462, "short_return": -0.043462, "price_return": 0.22106, "start_time": 1754384400000, "end_time": 1754650800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.015891, "short_return": -0.019891, "price_return": 0.242922, "start_time": 1754654400000, "end_time": 1754920800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.035655, "short_return": -0.039655, "price_return": 0.289724, "start_time": 1754924400000, "end_time": 1755190800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.020385, "short_return": -0.024385, "price_return": 0.318594, "start_time": 1755194400000, "end_time": 1755460800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.017713, "short_return": -0.021713, "price_return": 0.344571, "start_time": 1755464400000, "end_time": 1755730800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": 0.007251, "short_return": -0.011251, "price_return": 0.35701, "start_time": 1755734400000, "end_time": 1756000800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": -0.02006, "short_return": 0.01606, "price_return": 0.332488, "start_time": 1756004400000, "end_time": 1756270800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": -0.004113, "short_return": 0.000113, "price_return": 0.329672, "start_time": 1756274400000, "end_time": 1756540800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": -0.015625, "short_return": 0.011625, "price_return": 0.311554, "start_time": 1756544400000, "end_time": 1756810800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 75, "long_return": -0.001752, "short_return": -0.002248, "price_return": 0.311864, "start_time": 1756814400000, "end_time": 1757080800000}]}