KA Candidate Detail

Performance Summary

Short Term Return

-2.32%

Long Baseline

-1.83%

Short Baseline

1.43%

Price Return

-1.63%

Projection Windows

20

Avg Long Avg Short L 11 · S 9 · P 11 Avg Price Reference 1,007.300000

This Pattern

Snapshot of the exact candle window, pattern settings, and outcomes recorded below.

Window Length (candles) 284

Training Slice 2024-05-08 19:00 → 2024-05-20 14:00

Price Range 582.500000 → 573.000000

Baseline Comparison L -1.83% | S 1.43% | Δ -1.63%

The synthetic pattern takes this window, produces the short-term return above, and then projects forward using the same window size to build the trajectory below.

How to Trade This Pattern

Guidelines derived from the pattern and baseline relationship. Adjust to your own risk management.

Entry Idea Enter short once price rolls back toward baseline resistance.

Exit Idea For short trades, cover if the short baseline flips positive or projections tighten above zero.

Risk Guide Position sizing: use the baseline return magnitude as the expected move and cap risk to a fraction of that.

Bias Pattern lags both baselines — consider defensive or short positioning.

Strategy Notes

These figures describe how the synthetic pattern compares with simple buy-and-hold baselines for the same window.

— How this snapshot is built:

Take a recent slice of candles and compute the synthetic pattern return.
Measure what a simple long, a simple short, and the raw price move did on the same slice.
Walk forward through the next slices to see how the asset kept moving.

Pattern vs. long baseline: -0.49%
Pattern vs. short baseline: -3.75%
Asset price change on window: -1.63%
Projection windows keeping long baseline positive: 11 | short baseline positive: 9 | price positive: 11
Average projection returns — long: 1.02%, short: -1.42%, price: 4.07%

Pattern lags both baselines — consider defensive or short positioning.

Read the full KA evaluation documentation

Performance Trajectory

Short-term synthetic strategy vs. long/short baselines over subsequent windows.

Metadata

Packets 13499

Score -0.023202

Created 2025-09-29 19:15:19

Updated 2025-09-29 19:15:19

interval 1h

packets 13499

start_index 1282

window_size 284

start_time 1715184000000

end_index 1565

end_time 1716202800000

short_term_return -0.023202

comparison_count 20

comparison_long_positive 11

comparison_short_positive 9

comparison_long_average 0.010247

comparison_short_average -0.014247

comparison_price_positive 11

comparison_price_average 0.040705

price_return -0.016309012875536

Projection Windows

Pair	Interval	Window	Long Return	Short Return	Period
BNB_USDT	1h	284	3.68%	-4.08%	2024-05-20 15:00 → 2024-06-01 10:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	1.77%	-2.17%	2024-06-01 11:00 → 2024-06-13 06:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-6.59%	6.19%	2024-06-13 07:00 → 2024-06-25 02:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-7.51%	7.11%	2024-06-25 03:00 → 2024-07-06 22:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	7.17%	-7.57%	2024-07-06 23:00 → 2024-07-18 18:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	1.25%	-1.65%	2024-07-18 19:00 → 2024-07-30 14:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-7.19%	6.79%	2024-07-30 15:00 → 2024-08-11 10:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	8.91%	-9.31%	2024-08-11 11:00 → 2024-08-23 06:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-11.11%	10.71%	2024-08-23 07:00 → 2024-09-04 02:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	7.12%	-7.52%	2024-09-04 03:00 → 2024-09-15 22:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	9.16%	-9.56%	2024-09-15 23:00 → 2024-09-27 18:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-4.42%	4.02%	2024-09-27 19:00 → 2024-10-09 14:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	4.22%	-4.62%	2024-10-09 15:00 → 2024-10-21 10:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-5.78%	5.38%	2024-10-21 11:00 → 2024-11-02 05:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	7.71%	-8.11%	2024-11-02 06:00 → 2024-11-14 01:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	3.46%	-3.86%	2024-11-14 02:00 → 2024-11-25 21:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	17.17%	-17.57%	2024-11-25 22:00 → 2024-12-07 17:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-6.96%	6.56%	2024-12-07 18:00 → 2024-12-19 13:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-0.63%	0.23%	2024-12-19 14:00 → 2024-12-31 09:00
BNB_USDT	1h	284	-0.94%	0.54%	2024-12-31 10:00 → 2025-01-12 05:00

Raw Payloads

Metadata JSON

{"interval": "1h", "packets": 13499, "start_index": 1282, "window_size": 284, "start_time": 1715184000000, "end_index": 1565, "end_time": 1716202800000, "short_term_return": -0.023202, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 11, "comparison_short_positive": 9, "comparison_long_average": 0.010247, "comparison_short_average": -0.014247, "comparison_price_positive": 11, "comparison_price_average": 0.040705, "price_return": -0.01630901287553648}

Reasoning JSON

{"short_term_return": -0.023202, "long_return": -0.018309, "short_return": 0.014309, "price_return": -0.016309, "comparison_count": 20, "comparison_long_positive": 11, "comparison_short_positive": 9, "comparison_long_average": 0.010247, "comparison_short_average": -0.014247, "comparison_price_average": 0.040705}

Simulation JSON

{"start_time": 1715184000000, "end_time": 1716202800000, "window_size": 284, "trades_executed": 6, "commission": 0.001, "short_term_return": -0.023202, "long_return": -0.018309, "short_return": 0.014309, "base_start_price": 582.5, "base_end_price": 573.0, "comparison": [{"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.03675, "short_return": -0.04075, "price_return": 0.021631, "start_time": 1716206400000, "end_time": 1717225200000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.017657, "short_return": -0.021657, "price_return": 0.041888, "start_time": 1717228800000, "end_time": 1718247600000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.065931, "short_return": 0.061931, "price_return": -0.024721, "start_time": 1718251200000, "end_time": 1719270000000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.075051, "short_return": 0.071051, "price_return": -0.095966, "start_time": 1719273600000, "end_time": 1720292400000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.071666, "short_return": -0.075666, "price_return": -0.029185, "start_time": 1720296000000, "end_time": 1721314800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.0125, "short_return": -0.0165, "price_return": -0.015107, "start_time": 1721318400000, "end_time": 1722337200000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.071897, "short_return": 0.067897, "price_return": -0.083948, "start_time": 1722340800000, "end_time": 1723359600000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.089079, "short_return": -0.093079, "price_return": -0.000515, "start_time": 1723363200000, "end_time": 1724382000000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.111069, "short_return": 0.107069, "price_return": -0.109528, "start_time": 1724385600000, "end_time": 1725404400000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.071246, "short_return": -0.075246, "price_return": -0.04412, "start_time": 1725408000000, "end_time": 1726426800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.09157, "short_return": -0.09557, "price_return": 0.045322, "start_time": 1726430400000, "end_time": 1727449200000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.0442, "short_return": 0.0402, "price_return": 0.001373, "start_time": 1727452800000, "end_time": 1728471600000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.042231, "short_return": -0.046231, "price_return": 0.045665, "start_time": 1728475200000, "end_time": 1729494000000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.05782, "short_return": 0.05382, "price_return": -0.012704, "start_time": 1729497600000, "end_time": 1730516400000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.077068, "short_return": -0.081068, "price_return": 0.065545, "start_time": 1730520000000, "end_time": 1731538800000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.034621, "short_return": -0.038621, "price_return": 0.104567, "start_time": 1731542400000, "end_time": 1732561200000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": 0.171731, "short_return": -0.175731, "price_return": 0.296464, "start_time": 1732564800000, "end_time": 1733583600000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.069559, "short_return": 0.065559, "price_return": 0.208876, "start_time": 1733587200000, "end_time": 1734606000000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.006275, "short_return": 0.002275, "price_return": 0.203708, "start_time": 1734609600000, "end_time": 1735628400000}, {"trading_pair": "BNB_USDT", "interval": "1h", "window_size": 284, "long_return": -0.009373, "short_return": 0.005373, "price_return": 0.19485, "start_time": 1735632000000, "end_time": 1736650800000}]}